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Monday, October 24, 2005

A win for the conservatives

New York Times, October 23:

"More than a month after the elections, nearly all provisional results have finally been released for Afghanistan's Parliament and provincial assemblies, cementing a victory for Islamic conservatives and the jihad fighters involved in the wars of the past two decades."

An unsurprising result. And a government likely to become aggressive against Western influence. American/Australian/British "democracy" is a very sweet thing...especially if you're a warlord, drug trafficker or criminal.

1 Comments:

Blogger boredinHK said...

AL,
Sorry my reading of the article can't come within a bulls roar of your conclusions.
From the article -

"At least half of the 249-seat Wolesi Jirga, or lower house of Parliament, will be made up of religious figures or former fighters, including four former Taliban commanders. About 50 of the men elected fall into a broad category of independents, or educated professionals, and 11 are former Communists. Women have taken 68 seats - slightly more than the 25 percent representation guaranteed under the new electoral system.

It is far from clear how voting blocs will form, because the election system sidelined political parties, and most candidates ran as independents. But political analysts predict a deeply divided and confrontational body. Women may have a moderating influence but are also likely to be divided by region and ethnicity, the analysts said.

Even with such a Parliament, President Hamid Karzai is likely to be able to push through most bills and appointments."

Sounds like most governments to me.
I am always left wondering about those who see elections , see the results - an affirmation to some degree that representative government is taking hold but interpret this a kick in the teeth for the US. How? They may have wanted a certain result but I would guess they will be happy to leave the Afghans to sort out their problems themselves.

Further more -"He(Karzai) can rely to some degree on support from his fellow Pashtuns, the largest ethnic group in the country, who will control more than 100 seats. With backing from educated professionals and some other independents, that may prove to be enough support for all but the most controversial issues.

Yet he will have to work with powerful political figures. Among the winners are some of the prominent men of the past two decades of war and turbulent politics. Leaders of two mujahedeen, or jihadi, parties that fought the Soviet occupation - former President Burhanuddin Rabbani, head of Jamiat-i-Islami, and Abdul Rab Rassoul Sayyaf, leader of Ittehad-e-Islami - won seats, as did a number of their supporters. The two have backed Mr. Karzai recently, but their loyalty is not assured because they have much in common with the opposition: support for the mujahedeen who fought the jihad, conservative values and a demand for the northern ethnic groups to receive a fair share of power."

So the government will have to compromise and take various factions wishes into consideration . How is this a bad thing ?

Monday, October 24, 2005 2:30:00 pm  

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